4th Democratic Debate Predictions | QT Politics


The fourth Democratic Debate will be held
on October 15th, 2019 in Westerville, Ohio, moderated by CNN’s Erin Burnett and Anderson
Cooper, as well as New York Times national editor Marc Lacey. The debate will feature 12 of the top polling
candidates: Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Andrew
Yang, Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker, Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, and Tom Steyer. Actually, Tulsi Gabbard just recently put
out a statement saying she is considering boycotting this debate, in part because the
debates are too much like reality tv—a strange complaint from one of the biggest drama-making
candidates—but uh, for the purposes of this video, I’m just going to assume she’s in. It won’t really make too much of a difference,
overall. In this video, I’m going to give you my predictions
of what to expect of each of these candidates, based on their past performances, apparent
strategies, and what’s been going on in the news. Hopefully, this will give you some sense of
an answer to this question: What’s going to happen? Before we kick things off, I gotta give a
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people by heading over to patreon.com slash question time. Alright, let’s get into candidates, beginning
with Tom Steyer. This will be Tom Steyer’s first debate, and
he’ll probably be the most unfamiliar face on stage for most Americans. For those of you unfamiliar, Steyer is a billionaire
former hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and consistent democratic mega-donor, once
described by open-secrets as the top all-time democratic donor. Steyer has pledged to spend 100 million dollars
on his own presidential campaign, and spend over 7 million on ads in just his first month. Not surprisingly, Steyer’s policies match
with those of politicians who tend to be funded by Democratic mega-donors. He supports a public option, not medicare
for all. His foreign policy positions are focused on
rebuilding America’s reputation in the wake of the Trump era, rather than addressing imperialism
or regime change. Despite being a mega-donor, Steyer has a whole
plan for fixing American Democracy, which he calls structural reform, but, once again
much of his prescriptions are moderate: instituting 12-year congressional term limits; introducing
voting at home; and establishing Independent Redistricting Commissions—all plans that,
I believe, would be a positive steps, but they aren’t to radical. He also proposes repealing Citizens United,
and introducing public financing of elections—both of these moves would be huge, but he doesn’t
appear to have a plan on how to actually accomplish these things. Does he want to overturn Citizens United by
making that issue a litmus test for Supreme Court appointments, or will he encourage a
constitutional convention? He doesn’t say, which, honestly, makes me
doubt his sincerity. As for public financing of campaigns, some
candidates have detailed plans to accomplish this, like Andrew Yang’s Democracy Dollars. For Steyer, the idea is expressed in just
half a sentence on his website. Again, that kind of makes me doubt his sincerity. In general, what I would expect from a President
Steyer would be mild moderate-liberal reforms around the edges. But the chances of him getting there are extremely
low. Despite his almost limitless campaign resources,
and massive spending so far, Steyer is tied with Gabbard as the lowest-polling candidate
to make the debate. Their RCP averages of .6% are also shared
with Bullock and Williamson, who did not make it on stage. As a massive political donor, Steyer may be
exactly the opposite of what the grassroots want, given that America seems to be experiencing
a populist wave. In order to turn himself into a real contender
for the nomination, Steyer will have to have an astounding performance in the debate, but
that’s not likely. Steyer may be deeply involved in politics,
but he’s not a politician. When it comes to debating, he is an amateur
stepping up to bat against some pretty impressive orators. With a less-than-original political message,
and little experience speaking in a forum like this, he’s not exactly likely to thrive. If you have low expectations of Steyer, lower
them again, and you’ll still probably be disappointed with his performance in the 4th Democratic
Debate. After narrowly failing to make the cut for
the September debate, Tulsi Gabbard will be returning to the presidential debate stage
this time around. Despite polling relatively low, Gabbard has
been the most-googled candidate every time she’s made the stage, and has made her mark
with aggressive attacks against her fellow candidates, perhaps most notably, her sharp
critique of Kamala Harris’s record as AG of California. This time around, Gabbard would be likely
to go after a serious candidate again, but it’s hard to see who she would target. Both Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are
part of the progressive wing of the Democratic party—and thus natural allies for Tulsi. Warren could be criticized for softening her
language in support of Medicare for All—but Tulsi has done the same. So of the top three, that just leaves Joe
Biden, but Gabbard has thus far avoided going after him. She’s actually defended him when he was facing
heat over busing. She’s even defended him in regards to a top
issue for her campaign—regime change. She defended Biden to the Hill on his Iraq
vote, saying, “He was wrong—he said he was wrong and
he has apologized for it more than once…That’s the kind of reflection that I think is important
for any one of our politicians who made that wrong and fateful decision to vote for the
Iraq War .” My sense of things is that Gabbard, at this
point, understands that her chances of securing the nomination are very long, and is probably
angling for a positions in a potential democratic white house, which means avoiding conflicts
with the most likely candidates. Since a lot of the headway she’s made in the
past have been based on strong attacks on other candidates, I’d still expect her to
go after someone, but not likely someone in the top three. Buttigieg, O’Rourke, or a round two vs Harris
are more likely, but with Gabbard’s flair for the dramatic, all bets are off. Gabbard has always managed to draw new attention
in debates. I don’t see why this one will be any different. Julian Castro is also well known for his aggressive
conflicts with other candidates, but now finds himself in a bit of a pickle. While I loved his strong clashes with Joe
Biden in the 3rd Debate, as I expected, they resulted in mainly negative coverage from
the mainstream media. He was reported as being a bully, described
as implicitly attacking Biden’s age, and in the post-debate coverage, ABC even claimed
that he was totally wrong about his ‘two minutes ago’ swipe against Biden—even though, if
you actually examine the full context of what Castro had been saying, or Biden’s actual
health care plan—Castro was actually largely correct. If you want more on that, check out my 3rd
Democratic Debate breakdown. Now, Castro faces a choice: reverse course
and avoid conflict, and thus become a forgettable candidate; or plan another line of attack,
and face another round of attacks from the msm, where he is called a bully. I anticipate that Castro is most likely to
split the difference. He’s likely to go on the offence again, but
will probably be extra cautious about controlling his tone—and may avoid targeting Biden,
who seemed to have the sympathy of the mainstream press last time around. Indeed, when he was recently asked about Hunter
Biden’s position on the board of that Ukrainian gas company, Castro avoided the question. Those will be treacherous waters for Castro
to navigate, and a slight error in tone is likely to cause lasting damage to his campaign. As a result, it’s probably not wise to bet
on a victory for Castro this time around. A win is far likelier for Andrew Yang, a candidate
who has shown steady improvement in his debate performances, time after time. Last time around, Yang finally took my advice
and started to talk about policies other than UBI, like his campaign finance reforms. He has a lot of other great proposals, which
I expect him to begin pushing mentioning in the fourth debate, now that he has firmly
established himself as a tier-two contender, polling now between Kamala Harris and Beto
O’Rourke. Last time, Yang also drew much attention for
his plan to give ten families his Freedom Dividend for one year. I expected that the unusual ploy would garner
attention, but may soften support from his core. Well, it seems like I was half right. It did get him attention, but from the feedback
I’ve gotten from his supporters, they didn’t mind the move one bit. Although I still think it’s a bit cheese-balls,
I fully concede that this ended up being an even more positive move than I originally
expected it to be. As the big three candidates continue to widen
their gap with the rest of the field, few minor candidates still have a real shot at
the big time in this primary race, but having steadily gained ground throughout, Yang is
one of the few remaining candidates who could still manage to surge into contention if he
plays his cards right. His policies are thorough and often relatively
original. His online support is extremely strong, and
he’s has a powerful case to make about how to win over former Trump supporters. Yang is perfectly positioned to gain from
making a big move in the fourth Democratic Debate. Based on past performances, he’s unlikely
to get into a confrontation with another candidate, but he may have another headline-baiting trick
up his sleeve. He’s definitely a candidate to watch, and
a likely potential winner. Beto O’Rourke had a strong performance in
the third Democratic Debate, blustered by his celebrated response to a national tragedy,
and renewed commitment to fight the NRA. Having done well last time, Beto will enter
the fourth Democratic Debate with more confidence than ever before, but I can’t say I expect
amazing things. Beto’s mini-come back did not last long, and
his current RCP average is actually lower now, at 2.2%, than it was during the September
debate, 2.8%. Beto’s 15 minutes of fame seemed to be up
before he even declared his run for the presidency, and his old problems may re-emerge now that
he’s lost the glow of general sympathy. Beto has been criticized in the past for being
thin on policy, tainted by oil money, and a little hollow in his oration. He improved significantly on that last mark
last time, but I expect it’s more likely that was a temporary boost, rather than a sustainable
improvement. To solidify his standing in this race, Beto
will have to draw attention away from the other candidates—most of whom, it seems
to me, are inherently more interesting. It’s unlikely Beto will secure a solid win
in this debate. I bear no ill-will against Beto O’Rourke,
but it’s hard to see how it’s his time to become President. I loved seeing his near-miss senate race against
Ted Cruz, and honestly, I would love to see him give up on the presidency, for now, and
turn his attention to taking on John Cornyn for that other juicy Texas Senate seat. If he could almost beat someone with the name
recognition of Ted Cruz, he might have what it takes to beat out the somewhat lesser known
John Cornyn. I’m just saying: something for the O’Rouke
team to think about. Kamala Harris also appears to be a candidate
who’s hot streak is long behind her. At the beginning of the race, I quite honestly
expected her to be the strongest contender amongst the establishment candidates, but
shortly after her July surge in the polls, Harris has drooped in both the polls, and
her debate performances. I drastically overestimate what she would
bring to the third Democratic debate—expecting her to stage a come back, after getting severely
damaged by Tulsi Gabbard. Well, now it’s beginning to get a bit late
in the game for Kamala to come back strong, especially with two flop performances in a
row. Based on her performances in Senate hearings,
I always counted Kamala to be an astounding debate performer. And while she shined in her first debate,
we’ve seen her falter and fade since then. Harris may seem strong when she goes on the
attack, but she’s failed to be resilient in the face of criticism, and she’s got plenty
of vulnerabilities. Having slipped into fifth place in the polls,
Harris’s golden age seems to have come to an end, and with Gabbard on stage for debate
four, there’s every reason to expect we’ll see a deflated Harris once again. I’m expecting a loss for prosecutor. Pete Buttigieg is, of course, the candidate
who took fourth place from Kamala, more through her own poll loses than his own gains. He had a particularly strong performance in
debate 3, as he laid out his policy suggestions in the arena of racial justice—a topic that
has caused him damage in the past. It’s not hard to predict what we’ll see from
Pete this time around, as he’s pursued the same plan throughout the campaign. He’ll bring some clever lines to the debate;
stay upbeat and slightly evasive on controversial issues; avoid major conflicts; and put forth
just enough policy to avoid criticisms about standing for nothing in particular. While there is a massive polling gap between
Buttigieg and the top three contenders, he can survive another day, having out-raised
other big-money candidates, Kamala Harris and Joe Biden. He trails just behind Warren in terms of fundraising,
and actual exceeds her when it comes to cash on hand, leaving only Bernie Sanders with
a substantial lead over him in this area. While Buttigieg will need to surge in the
polls at some point to be competitive in time for the Iowa Caucus, his steady-as-she-goes
strategy has been working well enough so far. He’s unlikely to change up this tactic, and
it’s enough for him to secure a modest win for the fourth debate. Cory Booker has also been pursing a relatively
non-confrontational, positively-focused campaign so far, and has actually shown improvement
since his first appearance on a presidential debate stage. Unfortunately for the senator, he doesn’t
have the kind of money that the top contenders have, nor is he seeing positive movement in
the polls. Since the last debate, Booker has dipped from
an RCP average of 2.3 to 1.7 points, and he’s fallen definitively behind Andrew Yang and
Beto O’Rourke. While his comfort on stage has improved, Booker
was not able to make a real moment for himself in the 3rd debate, and it seems a little like
he’s running out of tricks. Seeing these declines, Booker may just pull
a rabbit out of his hat—but remember, bold moves are more likely to backfire than they
are to work. And his mild-mannered approach to confrontation
may fail to grab headlines, with characters like Gabbard and Castro willing to devastate
their fellow dems. It looks to me like Booker will have a hard
time accomplishing what he needs to do to pull out a win. Amy Klobuchar showed marked improvement in
the third debate, as she finally managed to change her passive-aggressive attacks into
direct critiques of her progressive rivals. While I chalked this up as a win for the snow-resistant
Minnesota senator, she’s still managed to make many of the same mistakes throughout
all the debates. She uses extremely cheesy lines and hackneyed
cliches; she is relatively soft-spoken and lack-luster; and focuses almost all her criticisms
on Trump, but fails to distinguish herself from her Democratic rivals. With the Ukraine scandal in full fore, Klobuchar
is likely to focus all her attention on the President’s wrong doing. The problem with this, strategically, is that
there is nothing original or special about a Democratic candidate who says that Trump
is a corrupt liar, who should never have been elected President. That’s literally what every Democratic candidate
says—it’s also what his primary challengers say. To inspire voters, a Democratic candidate
also needs to provide an inspiring vision of what she can bring to the White House. Klobuchar seems to lack that vision, and the
charisma necessary to hook voters with it. Time after time, Klobuchar is among the most
forgettable candidates on stage, and she’s poised to be the same this time around. After the third Democratic Debate, I argued
that despite saying all the right things, Sanders would lose a bit of ground in the
polls because of the simple fact that his voice sounded hoarse. I got a lot of flack for thinking the American
people would be so superficial, but as it turns out, he did experience a small drop
after that debate, dropping 1.1 points in his RCP average, while Warren’s numbers surged. Sander’s numbers began to spring back, but
he seems to have taken another dip after being hospitalized. I know this is annoying for policy-focused
voters, but Bernie’s age is a concern for a lot of voters, and will probably remain
so—at least until he picks a vibrant, younger progressive candidate as his running mate,
to assure his more tepid supporters that his ticket is a safe, and resilient bet. While Bernie never bends on policy positions
or general themes, having just bounced back from surgery, he’s gotta know that he can’t
come to this debate with a soar throat. If he comes back, stronger and angrier than
ever, I expect he’ll see gains in his support, as voters are surprised by his resilience. That would be a win for Bernie, and it’s what
I expect to see. But if he seems even slightly diminished,
the mainstream media won’t hesitate to criticize him as weak and sickly for taking more than
a week to recover from a heart attack and surgery. And that will convince a broad swath of democrats
to abandon him. So, while I do expect a win, there is a serious
risk of taking damage. So far, Elizabeth Warren has performed well
in every debate, and made gains after each and every one of them. She’s never really changed her strategy. It’s been working for her, and there’s no
reason to believe she’ll change things up, or that it will evoke a different result this
time around. Currently surging into spitting distance of
the front runner, Joe Biden, Warren may just jump to first place shortly after the fourth
democratic debate. Barring some unforeseen incident, the forth
democratic debate will be an important victory for Elizabeth Warren. With Trump’s Ukraine call becoming one of
the biggest stories of his presidency, there is little doubt that Joe Biden will have much
to say about impeachment and his own connection to Trump’s inappropriate behaviour. There is a chance that being targeted by Trump
will garner sympathy, thus making his debate performance a slam dunk. But there is also a possibility that the scandal
exposes new vulnerabilities for Biden as a candidate. It will be very interesting to watch what
kind of question Biden gets in regards to this issue. You’ll know he’s being served a layup if he
is asked about the unsubstantiated conspiracy theory, that Biden cut investigations into
the Ukrainian energy company short. If, however, Biden is asked why his son was
being paid 50 thousand dollars a month to sit on the board of a company that works in
a sector with which he had no experience—Biden’s getting a serious question about a real concern
for most Americans. Biden’s son getting this position shows that
he is a participant in the systemic Washington corruption that Americans are beyond sick
of seeing. The result of these questions is perhaps less
interesting. I would imagine that if he is asked the tough
question, Biden would likely fumble, either by providing a sprawling non-answer, or by
feigning outrage. If he is not asked the tough questions, he
may lose by default, if Americans note the media bias in his favour—just another example
of beltway table-tilting. Don’t get me wrong. Hunter Biden’s apparent pay-for-influence
was not illegal, or even irregular for the families of Washington elites. Nor is that example of systemic corruption
comparable to Trump withholding military aid while asking the Ukrainian president for a
sketchy, personal political favour. But it is very much comparable to the hundreds
of thousands of dollars that Wall Street firms paid Hilary Clinton for speeches. While those already familiar with Biden’s
fundraising sources, what he’s said to major donors, and how he’s voted throughout his
career will already likely see him as an asset of wealthy elites, his son’s unearned paydays
expose Biden to be part of the problem for a broader swath of the American public. The scandal can also deal a second layer of
damage for Biden. His participation in legal systemic corruption
may also lose him voters who no longer see him as electable. On top of the busing and the unwanted touching
issues, Biden now faces another serious challenge. At some point, voters may feel enough is enough,
and turn to someone with fewer skeletons in their closet. Again, Biden may be able elicit sympathy to
spin the story as an unfair attack on his family, which I would see as a win. But, it seems more likely to me that he’ll
earn the ire of the public for being part of typical Washington corruption. In this way, Biden enters the fourth democratic
debate more vulnerable than ever. A loss is highly likely. That’s what I expect, but honestly, it really
could break in either direction. Maybe Biden will seem like more of an elites
insider than ever. Maybe he’ll seem like a victim. Either way, this issue and how it’s perceived
will help to determine the answer to this question about the Biden campaign… What’s going to happen?

100 Replies to “4th Democratic Debate Predictions | QT Politics

  1. O boy i hope my favorite candiate wayne messam is in the debate cause everyone knows wayne i mean who wouldnt he is the highest in the polls

  2. one thing I'm really nervous about is the crowded stage. with so many candidates on, 12, how are people going to get talking time without being a frontrunner or a pushy candidate? I can totally see this debate get dominated by Waren, Biden, and Sanders, as well as people like Booker and Castro, with people like Yang being ignored. what do you think will happen, with such a crowd of candidates sharing a stage?

  3. I agree with all the candidates outcomes except Warren's. she's polling right equal with Biden now, which is new for her during a debate. last time, she was tied for second, not first, and now, because of that, I think she'll get attacked a LOT.

  4. #QTGang in this Eleshun like what?!?!?

    I love hearing my name on here, David G. super proud patreon supporter.

    Loved the vid. I'm stressed at the polls right now it looks like Warren has succeeded in seducing a lot of the Biden holdouts over Sanders.

    BERNIE2020 we still in this, turn them record players to 11!!!!

  5. I think it would be suicide for Beto to challenge Cornyn. He isn't talked about as much as Cruz, but he's far less hated, too. Also, I wouldn't call the former Republican whip "lesser known."

  6. My prediction: The moderators will overwhelmingly favor the 1%ers, the real candidates get 30 seconds to talk, and nothing of value will be gained.

  7. I think like the last three, Trump will pull out as the biggest winner of the democratic debate, especially if they refuse to talk about more substantive issues or heaven forbid let klobuchar speak at all

  8. Will you do a video on likely Vice Presidential picks for the top contenders (top 6). It will be interesting seeing your take on it, though you could debate its to early to predict.

  9. I actually disagree with Tulsi not going after anyone big. Being a candidate big on foreign policy I could easily see her going in on Elizabeth Warren, especially since thats a spot where Warren is markedly weak.

  10. What you said about beto is EXACTLY what iv been saying to these fools here in El Paso. He's certainly not gonna win the nomination or presidency so he should just drop out and go home to focus on the next Texas senate race where he'll do more damage

  11. I don’t know where this persistent delusion that Tulsi gets a lot of attention in these debates. Unless you’re one of these online political nerds (myself included), Tulsi makes a very small impact on people.

  12. It will be a big night for Bernie. He'll come in rested and free from campaign fatigue with a strong personal story about his medical scare and the need for universal healthcare. Those who have written him off have much to learn about the good senator from Vermont.

  13. An interesting idea might be seeing Which news stations are budding up with what nominees not sure if fitting with your channels content but an idea none the less

  14. Biden needs to go. Trump will use the Ukraine thing to do to him what he did to Hillary, and rightly so.
    So does anyone not in double digits. That’s just my opinion, but it seems to be echoed a lot on social media.
    Maybe the top tier candidates can adopt their most popular policies so it’s not a total loss.
    As for Warren, she is weak and wishy washy. If other candidates hit her for her flip flopping on Medicare for all and taking big money, she will suffer.

  15. the Democratic Party’s call to impeach Trump would have been made with clear eyes that it would probably undermine Biden, due to his Ukrainian associations. It gives advantage mainly to Warren and Sanders, who are next in line. And the impeachment is probably taking political oxygen, making it harder for other smaller candidates to get much needed attention.

  16. The MSM and corporate elites want people like Steyer, Klobuchar, and the other centrist on stage to take shots at leading progressives in the race. Because if Joe Biden tries to take shots at him they will destroy him and theres no other centrist there to take the blows and Biden is a weak candidate so it will really make the elites look bad. Joe Biden only attack towards the progressive is to contract them to Obama. That's it

  17. With new candidates joining and dropping out every debate, Tulsi has a point. It certainly feels like a TV show with special guests and Yang having a give away definitely added to that vibe.

    Im starting to just get sick of all the candidates. The first debates were okay to have a lot of candidates but 4 debates in and we are sill on 12 people. Just let it be between Biden, Bernie, Warren, Butigeg and Harris.

  18. The fact that Steyer can basically buy his way onto the stage, blowing millions of dollars away in the process, is so disgusting.

  19. Nobody under 5% should be at this debate, they are only helping Trump and the GOP. Should be the top four national polling candidates and kick out the rest. Having 12 candidates at a debate where the 3%ers are going to get all of the questions again hurts the Dem party as a whole so bad. The last debate was fucking awful.

    If you’re polling at 2 or 3 percent October before the election season, you aren’t going to win. They’re being selfish and running for president to make money and get fame instead of running for Senate seats they could almost certainly win. Congrats on helping the Republicans I guess.

  20. Warren stands for a continuation of the US imperalist foreign policy of regime change and endless wars. She voted for all 3 of Trump's military budgets and stood and applauded him. If she does not go after Biden for his son's corruption (which I doubt), her attacking Warren for her lack of foreign policy agenda is likely.

  21. If I wanted Amy Klobuchar to win I'd tell her to stop wearing dark pink tops. Since they make it even more obvious that's she looks and acts a lot like Dolores Umbridge.

  22. Gabbard really gives me pause. She almost seems like a left wing version of Trump with her dramatics and conspiracy theories

  23. Wonder how Bernie will do in the Debates 🤔
    Hopefully like the 2nd Debate/I wrote the damn bill! But they may focus more on his health then the rest of his policies…

  24. Every campaign HQ
    Biden: Kiss Obama's a** more than Castro
    Castro: Kiss Obama's a** more than Biden
    Gabbard: Ok which son of a b*tch*s campaign am I destroying this time
    Steyer: WE MADE DA DEBATE
    Yang: We must make America like MATH
    O'Rourke: Hell yes were winning this debate
    Harris: This time I'm going annoyingly repeatedly attack Sanders
    Sanders: We have to convince America that I'm not going to die in a year
    Warren: I'm O.00000002% black, I can win the black vote
    Klobuchar: I just want people that I'm not Nancy Pelosi
    Buttigieg: I'm the gay Mayor of South Bend Indiana why do people think I'm part of the establishment
    Booker: Dear Lord, Please don't have Tulsi attack me on my corruption record

  25. I was never a Tulsi fan but now I'm kinda hoping she does boycott. All she does is kick Joe Biden's ass, defend private health insurance, and now defends George W Bush.

  26. Can you run for public office? You have great views, you know what’s going on and You want to improve America. You are the Ideal candidate. Please take it into consideration.

  27. Oh my god, it's CNN? Praying Bernie brings up the red face/dubious image choice when they ask him about his health. Time to take the gloves off.

  28. I hope tulsi goes and takes out Elizabeth Warren like she did to kamala Harris so that Bernie is on top of the progressive vote and it’s him versus Biden. Bernie could beat Biden

  29. I'll be rooting for Sanders not only in the debate but for a speedy recovery. Hopefully Tulsi can have a solid breakout performance and absolutely DESTROY Biden on Ukraine. I don't trust Trump by any means, but I think Biden is equally untrustworthy.

  30. Oof Beto Castro and styer are still in the race. Warren is tainted by the Military industrial complex. YANG 2020!!!! YANG GANGSTERS ROLL OUT

  31. "Tom Steyer will probably be the most unfamiliar face on the stage"
    I think we would be if he doesn't keep peddling his incredibly annoying advertisements everywhere

  32. Warren is nor a natural ally for Gabbard, and she has been criticising Warren over the last few week, an indication of who she will attack on stage.

  33. I think Tulsi will have a new target: Biden, Hunter's $50,000 is an easy swing and one against a candidate that has struggled not to ramble when defending

  34. I basically agree with you. While Warren would be better than most any president in ther last 100 years, I am concerned about her electability so I am concerned about her surge. She may likely win this primary but I don't think she really knows how to speak with people outside of the white Huffington Post demographic of the Democratic base. I think Bernie is much more adept at speaking to people across the political spectrum and better at not being thrown off by Trump's nonsense. Full disclosure, I also think he would be more transformative than Warren and less likely to fold on his core issues if he took office.

    In any case, I hope that Biden plummets in the polls after this debate because I don't want him to be president and because I think he is uniquely vulnerable to Trump's attacks. Even this Ukraine thing is something Trump can spin as a loss for Biden, even if Trump's corruption regarding the matter is still far worse.

  35. You forgot the part where they only give yang 5 total minutes. The media despises yang due to him reaching the young demographic which doesn’t view the media as much

  36. In the face of defeat, Tulsi Gabbard should face the beast head on and not hold back on stage. CNN has made it clear that they intend to protect Kamala Harris and Joe Biden at all costs. The fact the she is complaining is her really giving into the motives of the Media elite.

  37. I imagine "Running for President" is pretty low on the list of activities you should do right after heart surgery, so it's a testament to Bernie's toughness that he hopped back in without hesitation. Love him or hate him, the man is a force of nature.

  38. We need a radical centrist candidat that's pro corruption pro terrorism and pro authoritarianism like Joe Biden but more centrist

  39. Your dismal of Steyer is funny to me. First of all his national polling numbers are low, but he's polling at 8% in early states on morning consult, putting him in 4th PLACE w/out even being in a debate. Steyer didnt become a billionaire and found one of the most successful hedge funds IN HISTORY by being a doormat & letting career politicians roll over him. If they attack him, it only means more speaking time. Steyer will DOMINATE the next debate, you will be eating your words real soon buddy…

  40. I like Tulsi, but I feel like she’s being a bit of a sore loser here. The qualifications and rules are the same for everybody, and I think the rules have been pretty fair thus far since we have to narrow it down more and more every month. Iowa is in 4 months. The DNC can’t really wait for her campaign to skyrocket.

  41. I smell a rat at the DNC: how the hell does Steyer meet the polling requirements? Most people don't even know who he is…

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